This has been pretty thoroughly tested with solo pulls, so it is very unlikely to be the case. You can falsify this quite easily too: Go to Marrowgar, wait 4 minutes, and then do a pull. If you see a non-proc on the first attack, it doesn't happen.You know what? The "pulling a boss" bonus to RPPM trinkets might explain the "pessimism" about it.
Most of us who have killed the fight have been through hundreds of wipes on this boss. That does not prove anything. What you optimized for is consistency, not average throughput. You could easily be doing less on average, but removed some outliers that led to a failure to meet the minimum throughput requirement.Supporting evidence is hundreds of wipes on Archimonde as the only mage, and the raid asking me to find a way to get more consistent damage. We have consistently only wanted to do the one doomfire strat (first kill 3 months ago) so being the only mage (and 0 rogues) my dps has been crucial in making the push, where we'd often be off by 0.1% and call a wipe
To break down the argument a bit:
This is the claim you are making.I'd dare say it's even a dps increase.
This is your evidence.However when it procced on the boss I would often get 11-14m damage, compared to 13-20m consistently with the new prophecy of fear strategy always proccing on crystal. We went from occasionally making the push to consistently making it after we made the change.
Basically you're saying that by increasing the lower bound of output numbers, you are therefore doing higher on average. I don't believe those two are equivalent.
I don't think your numbers add up when computing Doom Nova damage. Looking at the current top log on Archimonde, which had 5 Arcane Missile procs within the first 18 seconds (extremely high), the total Doom Nova damage done to Archimonde, Doomfire Spirit and Prismatic Crystal doesn't even reach 4 million. I have trouble believing you can get anything like 6M more top end damage because of Doom Nova, even if you compared against a log with zero Doom Nova damage. This should not happen unless you are playing really poorly when Mark of Doom fails to proc on PC.